A Method to Dynamic Stochastic Multicriteria Decision Making with Log-Normally Distributed Random Variables

نویسندگان

  • Xin-Fan Wang
  • Jian-Qiang Wang
  • Sheng-Yue Deng
چکیده

We investigate the dynamic stochastic multicriteria decision making (SMCDM) problems, in which the criterion values take the form of log-normally distributed random variables, and the argument information is collected from different periods. We propose two new geometric aggregation operators, such as the log-normal distribution weighted geometric (LNDWG) operator and the dynamic log-normal distribution weighted geometric (DLNDWG) operator, and develop a method for dynamic SMCDM with log-normally distributed random variables. This method uses the DLNDWG operator and the LNDWG operator to aggregate the log-normally distributed criterion values, utilizes the entropy model of Shannon to generate the time weight vector, and utilizes the expectation values and variances of log-normal distributions to rank the alternatives and select the best one. Finally, an example is given to illustrate the feasibility and effectiveness of this developed method.

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

A New Dynamic Random Fuzzy DEA Model to Predict Performance of Decision Making Units

Data envelopment analysis (DEA) is a methodology for measuring the relative efficiency of decision making units (DMUs) which ‎consume the same types of inputs and producing the same types of outputs. Believing that future planning and predicting the ‎efficiency are very important for DMUs, this paper first presents a new dynamic random fuzzy DEA model (DRF-DEA) with ‎common weights (using...

متن کامل

Designing a new multi-objective fuzzy stochastic DEA model in a dynamic ‎environment to estimate efficiency of decision making units (Case Study: An Iranian Petroleum Company)

This ‎paper presents a new multi-objective fuzzy stochastic data envelopment analysis model          (MOFS-DEA) under mean chance constraints and common weights to estimate the efficiency of decision making units for future financial periods of them. In the initial MOFS-DEA ‏model, the outputs and inputs are ‎characterized by random triangular fuzzy variables with normal distribution, in which ...

متن کامل

Some geometric aggregation operators based on log-normally distributed random variables

The weighted geometric averaging (WGA) operator and the ordered weighted geometric (OWG) operator are two of most basic operators for aggregating information. But these two operators can only be used in situations where the given arguments are exact numerical values. In this paper, we first propose some new geometric aggregation operators, such as the log-normal distribution weighted geometric ...

متن کامل

A hybrid CS-SA intelligent approach to solve uncertain dynamic facility layout problems considering dependency of demands

This paper aims at proposing a quadratic assignment-based mathematical model to deal with the stochastic dynamic facility layout problem. In this problem, product demands are assumed to be dependent normally distributed random variables with known probability density function and covariance that change from period to period at random. To solve the proposed model, a novel hybrid intelligent algo...

متن کامل

Robust inter and intra-cell layouts design model dealing with stochastic dynamic problems

In this paper, a novel quadratic assignment-based mathematical model is developed for concurrent design of robust inter and intra-cell layouts in dynamic stochastic environments of manufacturing systems. In the proposed model, in addition to considering time value of money, the product demands are presumed to be dependent normally distributed random variables with known expectation, variance, a...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره 2013  شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2013